NEWS: February 14, 2014: 

Let's begin today's update with the most active solar sunspot group, 11974, which has been blasting out M-Class solar flares as if it was participating in an LA style drive by shooting. With a daily M-Class flaring average of 3 per day, this group looks like it might have joined some sort of a labor union because it's the only one producing while the rest of them sit around and do nothing. 8 M-Classes in just 3 days. Only 971 was able to squeeze out anything since that clip was taken, but only still a measly C-Class flare and only one of them at that. 11977 still looks like it's waking up but it's looked that way for days, so for now it looks like it's just a tease. The magnetic field line model shows a coronal hole rotating into the earth facing position in the next couple of days but the solar wind has been kind of weak, so i don't expect any significant radiation storms due to it's forthcoming prominence. Coronal hole plot shows the Earth's magnetic connection to the sun is still on the coronal hole sliver from last week, which has since turned away and is now on the far-side of the sun. The Planetary KP Index looks normal as of 8pm EST but we do have two coronal mass ejection, merged together as one cohesive CME, due to arrive any moment. This is according to the NOAA ENLIL model at least. Even still, it's hard for me to believe that the KP will read any higher than level 4 as for the plasma density isn't forecasted to go higher than 25, so I guess we'll find out during the overnight hours whether this CME has any significant impact at all. Auroral forecast maps reflect my feeling on this and show no major geomagnetic light show for folks outside the Arctic Circle.

In other news, we had a fireball meteor in the Northeast US. A fireball streaked across the sky late yesterday afternoon surprising and unnerving residents of Maine. Footage shows debris burning up in the atmosphere during the sunset hours, around 5:06EST. NASA attributes this fireball to space junk re-entering the atmosphere and burning up, as being the likely cause.

There is another volcanic eruption in Indonesia. This makes it the second volcano to erupt in that country since Sinabung caused panic and evacuations in the area. The volcano named Kelud erupted yesterday around the town of Batu, west of Malang. Flights were directed around that area.

Earthquake uptick north of the Himalayas in what looks like possible fore-shocks. Rumbles are measuring around 4 on the Richter and are located along the Altyn Tagh Fault in southwest China. Other notable earthquakes around the planet is a 5.7 in Vanatu. An island region located at the easternmost point of the Indonesian archipelago.



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