Strong Sunspots Groups, M1.1 Solar Flare & Filaments

SOLAR WEATHER WATCH: March 3, 2014:
Solar activity still quiet today with the X-ray flux time-line only showing one M-Class solar flare today from departing Beta class group 11989 on the northern hemisphere of the sun. If you were looking at only the GOES 3-Day X-Ray flux graph, then it wouldn't have looked like a noteworthy event. But that's why we don't just look at the GOES 3-Day. Let's check out what it's neighbours are up to. 11990 still Earth-facing with another day in the Beta-Delta class with it's evil little sister  to the south, 11991, still retaining it's Beta-Gamma class as well. But with descent development this can change to Beta-Gamma-Delta at any time as you can see a positive (blue) umbra developing in a negative (red) umbral region. Being that it is earth facing I am definitely keeping my eye on it. Don't take it's lack of inactivity for a sign of weakness as these groups fired off an X4.9 last week. Major power, looking at reading from the Spitzer Space Telescope, which took the direct CME hit, we see the numbers are truly impressive. With density hitting 45 and solar wind speed reaching a further 1000km/s. Cool stuff. Departing groups aren't impressive but they did produce the only M-Class Flare so far today. Far-side map shows some more big ones on the incoming front, 11974 with a Beta-Gamma classification and roughly 25% growth in the last 24-hours. Let's not forget we're at a second solar-  max peak now. We have two coronal holes rotating into the Earth-facing position with the southern counterpart expelling major plasma power. Luckily we shouldn't share a magnetic connection with it, until next week at the earliest, if we do at all. But judging from where our magnetic connection point has been hanging out for the last few months, it's a safe bet that it might just make a direct connection with it. A bunch of new filaments detected and there's that big one on the south-eastern portion of the coronal disk, where Mercury's, Venus' and our Earth's magnetic points reside. This didn't happen over the last 24 hours but it might over the next 24. So eyes open. Solar wind is calm at 350km/s and the plasma density currently fluctuating between 10 and 14. ENLIL plot showing this expected fluctuation, so no big deal. The magnetic field is stable after taking a small disturbance overnight. Proton count is still on the decline is now pretty much at baseline almost. KP Index is once again reading 1 at the time of this report. To recap, over the next 24 hours, we're looking for development of sunspot group 11991 as it mat join the Beta-Gamma-Delta class by tomorrow if it continues the way it's going now. Chances of flaring are as follows M-class solar flare probabilities over the next 24 hours are 70% and a further 25% for the X-Class kind.